Mortgage Rates: What You’re Hearing About vs. What You Get

Your actual rate is based on your situation.

With mortgage interest rates crossing the 7% line as a national average you need to remember… 

What you’re reading about or see online is not necessarily the rate you can get.

It’s a common misconception that the rate you see in the headlines is the same one you’d get when you buy. The truth is, mortgage rates shift often, and the rate you actually end up with can vary a lot from what you may see or hear about. 

What Determines Your Real Rate? 

Advertised rates and “real rates” aren’t always the same. That’s because real rates are based on your specific situation, which includes your overall finances and goals. The rates you see in the headlines can’t possibly reflect that. 

That’s why only a lender can tell you what your real rate will be. To figure out your unique number, they’ll look at:

  • Your credit score: Your credit score includes your payment history (if you’ve made late payments – and how often), credit utilization (are your accounts maxed out, or do you have available credit?), and the length of your credit history (how long have your accounts been open?). For example, someone with an exceptional credit score may qualify for a better rate.
  • Your debt-to-income ratio (DTI): This is calculated by dividing your monthly debt payments by your monthly income before taxes to come up with a percentage. The higher your DTI, the higher your rate could be.
  • The down payment size and Loan-to-Value (LTV): Your down payment is the percentage of the home’s price you will put down. The LTV is the percentage of a home’s sales price that equals your mortgage. 
  • The type and term of loan program options: Your loan officer will walk you through different loan options based on what you qualify for. Mortgage rates can vary between different loan products and programs. 

Even after you find a home you love, other things can have an impact too. For example:

  • A mortgage rate buydown: This helps you get a lower mortgage rate, and by extension, a lower monthly payment, by paying an upfront cost. Sometimes a seller, builder, or another party may even offer to cover that cost themselves as an incentive for you to buy.
  • Seller concessions: Sellers are allowed to pay buyer closing costs according to most loan program guidelines. Seller-paid closing costs can add up to thousands of dollars, which can free up some cash for you to increase your down payment, pay down debt, or make other financial adjustments to try to get a better rate. 

There’s a lot that can ultimately have an impact on your actual rate. 

Your First Step? Getting Pre-Approved.

If you want to know if your number could be higher or lower than the headlines on social, you need to talk to an expert. A simple conversation with a loan officer can help you determine when you’ll be ready to buy, how much you can borrow, and of course, what your real rate will be. 

Your lender may recommend a pre-qualification and pre-approval:

  • Pre-qualification is a general estimate of what you might be able to borrow based on self-reported information. 
  • On the flip side, pre-approval is actually a conditional commitment from a lender based on verified information. 

Just know that, of the two, the pre-approval process gives you a more accurate picture of your options than pre-qualification. Bankrate gives a quick comparison so you can see why:

a blue and white chart with white text

How To Get Ready for the Conversation

Ask your lender what documents you’ll need to gather for that conversation. And keep these questions in your pocket too. They’re good things to go over when you talk: 

  • What will I gain or lose by waiting to buy a home for 3, 6, or 12 months? 
  • Will I get any tax advantages by buying a home – and what are they? 
  • What’s the benefit of buying a home and starting to build equity now versus waiting? And how does that impact my finances in the long run?
  • How will rate changes in either direction affect me?

Once you find out your rate, maybe you can buy now. Or maybe you still need to wait. But at least you’d know your options and can make an informed decision.  If you need to connect with a qualified lender, please let us know. We can refer you to several who our clients have successfully worked with. 

Bottom Line

Headlines and social media make today’s rates sound high. But you have to remember, the rate you’re seeing online and your actual rate could be different. The only way to know what your rate could be is to talk to a trusted lender. 

With the right help, you can find out what your real rate is – and where it can take you.

Mari, Hank, and Colleen

PS: We were in the Mashpee TV studio late last week with Cape Cod 5 Mortgage Banker Patti Lotane discussing this specific topic. Please watch our social media platforms for links to our “How’s the Market?” program or visit the Mashpee TV website.

Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.

Why Now Is a Key Moment to Sell Your Home

As affordability improves, so does buyer demand.

Mortgage rates are finally heading in the right direction – and buyers are starting to jump back in.

According to the data, buyer demand picked up considerably once mortgage rates hit a new low for 2025. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reports that applications for home loans were up 23% compared to the first week of September last year.

If you’ve been waiting to sell, or your listing recently expired because the market was slower than you hoped it would be, now’s the time to reconsider your move. Buyer demand is the highest it’s been since July – and you don’t want to miss this window.

When Rates Drop, Buyers React

Here’s what’s happening. The 30-year mortgage rate has dropped nationally to 6.13%. And that’s the lowest it has been since October 2024. On Cape Cod, banks like Cape Cod Five are offering even lower rates.

That decline followed weak job growth and other economic indicators. The Federal Reserve cut the Federal Funds Rate last week and experts speculate that they may do it again before the year is out. And that opens the door for more buyers to act.

Since today’s buyers are looking at every angle to make home purchases more affordable, they’re much more sensitive to even the slightest movement in mortgage rates. Basically, it boils down to this. As affordability improves, so does buyer demand (see graph below):

And that’s a change you’re going to feel – in a good way. Since about this time last year, we’ve been in a plateau of “limited” buyer demand. But now that rates are coming down, buyer demand is getting better.

What This Means for You

If you’re looking to move, it’s time to get serious about what’s happening in the market, and how you can use these key moments to your advantage. Maybe you have an expired listing that sat without offers earlier this year, or you held off on selling altogether, thinking buyers weren’t out there. This is your signal – they’re coming back. Now, it’s not in the big surge the market saw a few years ago, but this could be your window.

Here’s the opportunity. You can list, while buyer activity is rising and before more sellers in your neighborhood do too. Other homeowners may not see this shift for a while, so you can get a leg up on your competition if you act now.

On the flip side, if you wait, sure there may be more buyers if rates continue to inch down. But there are also going to be more sellers too. So, why take that risk?

We can assess your home’s market value, fine-tune your pricing strategy, and make sure it stands out to the serious buyers who are taking action today. And remember, what your neighbor got three years ago for their home is not relevant to today’s market.

Bottom Line

Buyers are watching rates, weighing their options, and starting to get off the sidelines. If you’re thinking about selling, this may be your chance to get ahead.

Want to make sure your house shows up for the right buyers, at the right time?

Let’s connect and walk through the steps together so you can make the most of this moment. You can find us at 508-388-1994 or msennott@todayrealestate.com. We’re ready to help.

Mari and Hank

Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.

Buy Now or Wait for Rates to Drop?

Buyers who are holding out for lower mortgage rates may be missing a key opening in the market.

Mortgage rates are always a hot topic – and for good reason. After the most recent jobs report came out weaker than expected, the bond market reacted almost instantly. As a result, in early August mortgage rates dropped to their lowest point so far this year (6.55%).

While that may not sound like a big deal, pretty much every buyer has been waiting for rates to fall. And even a seemingly small drop like this reignites the hope we’re finally going to see rates trending down. But what’s realistic to expect?

According to the latest projections, rates aren’t expected to fall dramatically anytime soon. Most experts project they’ll stay somewhere in the mid-to-low 6% range through 2026 (see graph below):

In other words, no big changes are expected. But small shifts, like the one we just saw, are still likely. 

What Rate Would Get Buyers Moving Again?

The magic number most buyers seem to be watching for is 6%. And it’s not just a psychological benchmark; it has real impact. A recent report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says if rates reach 6%:

  • And roughly 550,000 people would buy a home within 12 to 18 months
  • 5.5 million more households could afford the median-priced home

That’s a lot of pent-up demand just waiting for the green light. And if you look back at the graph above, you’ll see Fannie Mae thinks we’ll hit that threshold next year. That raises an important question: Does it really make sense to wait for lower rates?

Because here’s the tradeoff. If you’re waiting for 6%, you need to realize a lot of other people are too. And when rates do continue to inch down and more buyers jump into the market all at once, you could face more competition, fewer choices, and higher home prices. NAR explains it like this:

“Home buyers wishing for lower mortgage interest rates may eventually get their wish, but for now, they’ll have to decide whether it’s better to wait or jump into the market.”

Consider the unique window that exists right now:

  • Inventory is up = more choices
  • Price growth has slowed down = more realistic pricing
  • You may have more room to negotiate = you could get a better deal

These are all opportunities that will go away if rates fall and demand surges. That’s why NAR says:

“Buyers who are holding out for lower mortgage rates may be missing a key opening in the market.”

Bottom Line

Some people have told us that they are holding off on making their next move in order to see “what happens.” If that means if rates are going to drop, you have your answer. They aren’t expected to hit 6% this year.

But when rates drop, you’ll have to deal with more competition as other buyers jump back in. If you want less pressure and more negotiating power, that opportunity is already here – and it might not last for long. It all depends on what happens next in the economy.

If you’re thinking about entering the market but want to talk it through, we’re here to listen. You can find us at 508-388-1994 or msennott@todayrealestate.com. Let us know how we can help.

Mari and Hank

Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision.